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Wednesday, January 2, 2008

Louis James on Why the Big Gold and Silver Spike Will Be Even Bigger This Time

Part I of a two-part interview with Louis James, Senior Editor with Casey Research. James talks about the gold and silver markets, and shares his views on several interesting companies. In Part II, to be published next week, Louis discusses five more gold and silver companies he likes and why.

TGR: Where do you think gold is headed over the next 12 months?

JAMES: There are two different ways of looking at the gold market. One has to do with the fundamentals of supply and demand. The other has to do with the speculative value of gold. Regarding the first view, the supply side is easier to grasp. And right now, there are very clear signs of difficulties ahead on the supply side. Newmont Mining Corp. (NYSE: NEM) has already announced that production is going to decline by many millions of ounces. Demand is a little trickier to forecast. Silver and the base metals have industrial uses, so industry drives demand. However, the value of gold is based largely on perception — what people feel and what they fear, as opposed to what manufacturers need.

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